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ICI-32 - Early Warning Systems

Establishment and operation of early warning systems

Strategic early warnings systems

Early warning is the timely identification of potential opportunities and risks for a business. The permanent observation of environmental changes in a continuous process is referred to as an early warning system.


This workshop outlines the fundamentals and requirements for setting up early detection and warning systems and illustrates their implementation within a business.

Workshop focal points

Theory of weak signals

  • Ansoff approach

  • Analogies from military early warning

  • Technological early detection

Identification and applicability of early warning indicators

In environments such as:

  • Economy
  • Politics
  • Society
  • Technologies

Designing an early warning systems

  • Design considerations (cost-benefit optimization, IT support)

  • Methods to identify significant indicators

  • Organization and personnel resources for early warning

  • Structuring of relevant areas of observation

  • Implementation steps

Managing an early warning system

  • Selecting and training employees

  • Motivating and managing employees

  • Evaluation of observations

  • Use of software (content management system)

Case study

  • Designing an early warning system with the aid of a specific example

  • Lessons learned: review of several implemented early warning systems

Readings

More Information

 

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